The level of borrowing with which governments around the world are saddling themselves sent the prices paid on government debt CDS higher, in some cases sharply.
U.K. 5yr: 106 bp
Italy: 5yr: 161 bp
US 10yr: 66 bp
- DTCC Posts 6-Month Market Activity Snapshot on CDS Market
- Default in Today’s Advanced Economies: Unnecessary, Undesirable, and Unlikely
- The Impact of Banks’ Cumulative Reserve Position on Federal Funds Rate Behavior
- A Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing
- TBA Trading and Liquidity in the Agency MBS Market
- Impact of High and Growing Government Debt on Economic Growth
- Financial Amplification of Foreign Exchange Risk Premia
- The Central-Bank Balance Sheet as an Instrument of Monetary Policy
- Exorbitant Privilege and Exorbitant Duty
- The Information Value of the Stress Test and Bank Opacity
- Price of Risk—Recent Evidence from Large Financials
- Shadow Banking
- Summer Doldrums
- Credit Default Swaps: What Are the Social Benefits and Costs?
- The International Role of the Euro
- Chronicle of Currency Collapses: Re-Examining the Effects on Output
- The Paradox of Toil
- Links
- What the Fed Did and Why
- Markets and Government Before, During and After the 2007-20xx Crisis
- Detecting and Interpreting Financial Stress in the Euro Area
- Are We Building the Foundations for the Next Crisis Already? The Case of Central Clearing
- Links
- Links
- OIS Discounting
- Multimarket Trading and the Cost of Debt: Evidence from Global Bonds
- Is Economics Coursework, or Majoring in Economics, Associated with Different Civic Behaviors?
- China’s High Saving Rate: Myth and Reality
- Oil Spill
- Eurozone €440 Bln SPV Aid Fund
- ECB Financial Accounts and ECB Financial Strength
- Central Bank Swap Networks
- DTCC Posts CDS Market Activity Snapshot
- ECB: Financial Stability Review (June 2010)
- Global CDO Issuance by Transaction Structure
- Links
- TBAC Minutes: Sovereign CDS and Swap Spreads
- Goldman Sachs Underwriting Market Shares in Subprime RMBS and CDOs
- Abacus for Dummies
- The World’s Safest and Riskiest Sovereign Debt (Update)
- Increased Sovereign Risk Behind Negative Swap Spreads
- Haircuts
- Markets, Religion, Community Size, and the Evolution of Fairness and Punishment
- Beyond the Dollar: Rethinking the International Monetary System
- Links
- Amazing Discovery
- ABCP Outstanding: Still Crashing
- Greek Government Bond Market
- Links
- Sterling Today
I think so much trading in CDSs has nothing to do with the ‘D’ in the acronym, that one must be careful not to get too dramatic about it. For so many traders it is simply the most convenient method of entering a short position, not at all a hedge against default.
What is the farm? The banking system?
Of the big ones Italy is the one to watch, but Ireland is my best guess for the first to blow up, if blow ups come to pass…the Euro would already have converged with the Argentine peso without the $400 bn + in swap lines, courtesy of the fed.
Rational, but ugly… wonder which national government buys the farm first. I would expect a weak Eurozone country — they don’t have as many options as the US because they don’t control their own currency.