Treasury Securities: Where Are They ?
Outstanding: $4,513 bn [marketable securities only, including TIPS]
In “foreign” hands: $2,402 bn
At the Fed: $677 bn
That leaves only $1,434 bn for U.S investors. Any flight to safety will create “short squeezes.”
Net Issuance was negative in january and usually is very negative in april, may and june.
March 26th, 2008 at 11:25 am
[...] Who is holding all those Treasury securities? (Alea) [...]
March 26th, 2008 at 6:02 pm
Transfers of foreign exchange reserves into shorter & more liquid maturity holdings, portends a weaker currency. Some volume of the treasury bill concentration in the 4 week, 3 month, 6 month durations probably is in preparation for swaping out their dollar denominated holdings. The dollar’s recent decline suggests this senario.
March 26th, 2008 at 10:40 pm
I suggested in a comment on Paul Krugman’s column that this explains the unreasonably low rates on short term treasuries. When everyone is looking for a safe harbor, the cost for a spot in the harbor goes up.
March 27th, 2008 at 7:48 am
[...] interessanter Beitrag — Wer hält die Treasury Securities (im Grunde US-Staatsanleihen, mehr in Wikipedia). Ich [...]