Posts
- TSLF
- Short Sellers: June Was Best Month in 7 Years
- U.S. Treasury Default Swaps: New Record
- Fannie and Freddie: Rescue Links
- Freddie: Still Breathing
- CDS: Fannie Tighter, US Wider
- Stocks for the Long Run, Fannie and Freddie Edition
- #Links
- “Short and Distort” Crowd Doesn’t Want You to Read This
- Hot Mike Statement
- International Role of the Euro
- Derivatives: OCC Edition
- Dow Jones in Euros
- Derivatives Trading: Banks Recover
- Ambac
- Oil Spike: Credit Crunch Theory
- ABX: First Writedowns
- #Links
- NY Fed Loan to JPMorgan for Bear
- LIBOR vs NYFR
- New OCC Mortgage Metrics Report
- #Links
- OIS
- Quote of the Day: Vikram Pandit
- Financial Guarantors in the Financial System
- The Chronology and Links of Propagation of the Sub-Prime Shock across Structured Finance Markets
- Reverse of the Law of Large Numbers
- I Am Very Disappointed In This Quarter’s Results
- New Bond Math: -2 + -2 = 4
- ABCP for Auction-Rate Rescue ?
- CDS: Central Counterparty on the Way
- Libor Changes: NONE
- JPM on the WSJ’s Dodgy Libor Analysis
- Libor Analysis: Wall Street Journal Edition
- Mishkin Resigns
- #Links
- Computer Programming Error
- Crunch: Euroland Edition
- SocGen’s Trading Scandal
- CDS Market: Still Growing But…
- Moody’s
- Return of the Maestro
- Seniorage Profits: Fed Edition
- #Links
- Oracle of Omaha Meets the Visionaries of Galilee
- Triple A for Fake Alpha
- Minsky on Central Banking
- Best TAF So Far
- #Links
- #Links
- Follow the Money
- TSLF: Nobody Showed Up
- ICE Crash
- Trichet: Reflections on the Current Financial Market Correction
- #Links
- Confidence Improving
- CDS Premia: View from the BofE
- LIBOR Changes
- Exchange-Traded Credit Default Swaps ?
- Liquidity Provision by the Federal Reserve
- Only in America: Repo Home Tour
- The European Central Bank and The Federal Reserve
- FED: Running Out of T-Bills
- #Links
- #Links
- ABX.HE.PENAA Initial List
- TAF: Below Discount Rate
- What We Know, Don’t Know and Can’t Know About Bank Risk: A View from the Trenches
- Libor and Money Market Funds
- TSLF Collateral Expanded to ABS
- TAF Increased to $150 bn
- #Links
- Markit to Add a Penultimate AAA Sub-Index to ABX.HE Indices
- NYFR: The New LIBOR
- Subprime RMBS: Expected Credit Losses vs Mark to Market Losses
- ABX Anomalies
- Financial Market Liquidity
- Market Timing System using Grammatical Evolution
- Minsky
- #Links
- Credit Classification Using Grammatical Evolution
- Paper
- TSLF Update
- $156k Fine for Spreading Rumors
- Global CDO Issuance: CRASH !!!
- Monolines: Back to Hell
- The Fall of UBS
- Time Out
- TSLF: More Success
- A Black Swan in the Money Market
- Graph of the Day: Fed Balance Sheet
- Auction Rate Matters
- Level 3 Assets at Goldman
- VaR: Q1-2008
- G7 Friday News Today
- Mortgages and Basel II
- Credit Crisis Is Broadening, IMF Warns
- #Links
- Scorecard: Securitization Q1-2008
- Fed Loosens Capital Rules for JPM
- Model Risk: SEC Edition
- G.C. / Fed Funds Spread Back to Normal
- VaR and the Super Senior ABS CDOs
- Google Stock Screener
- Bank Trading and Derivatives Activities
- #Links
- Dumbest Graph of the Day
- TSLF: Success
- Judge Fights Credit Crunch
- #Links
- Treasury Securities: Where Are They ?
- Repos Fails and the TSLF
- #Links
- Bear Stearns
- WOW
- Negative Repo Rates Today
- #Links
- Repo Market: Massive Fails
- Absolute Flight to Safety
- Fed Chaos: Picture
- Fed Dumps T-Bills: $15 bn Reserve Drain
- Fischer Black on Monetary Policies
- Nuclear Option: Details
- Nuclear Option: Capital Rule Relaxed
- #Links
- Bear Stearns Stock Manipulation: SEC on the Case
- Still Behind the Curve
- Bear Stearns CDS
- Advice to Lawyers
- Credit Event
- Bear Stearns: Pre Market
- 100 TeraDollar
- More Fed Chaos
- $2 for Bear
- Bear Raid
- CDS of the Day: Warren Buffet
- Official: Euroland GDP Passes U.S.
- CDS Clearing
- Crash
- Bear Stearns
- Bear Stearns
- Bear Stearns: Saved
- #Links
- Back to Basics: First to Default Swap
- Unintended Consequences: Fed Kills Carlyle
- Carlyle Capital: Dead Duck
- #Links
- 1-Week Futures Contracts on Nonfarm Payrolls
- Mini Crash of the Day: TIPS
- Credit Crisis: Fed Reacts [again]
- #Links
- BAA
- Client 9
- Crash of the Day: China’s Trade Surplus
- Banks and Disaster Myopia
- Don’t Mark to Markit
- Paper: A Simple Model of Bubbles and Crashes
- $325 Billion “Systemic Margin Call” for Banks
- Why the Fed Has NO Credibility
- iTraxx
- Back to Basics: Bonds Edition
- The Trillion Dollar Meltdown
- Fannie Mae CDS
- Margin Call
- Stock and Bond Markets: Alleged Divergence
- Goldman’s Blankfein on the Credit-Market Crisis
- Golden Era: Bernanke Edition
- Here Comes Everybody
- #Links
- U.S Corporates: Swimming in Cash
- Delphi CDS
- #Links
- How Spain Avoided a Housing Recession
- Official: New York Times is Junk
- Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
- Warren Buffett on Efficient Markets
- #Links
- Hedge Fund Implosion: Wall Street Blamed
- #Links
- CDS of the Day: Sprint Nextel
- VIEs
- The Flynn Effect
- MBIA CDS
- MBIA: Split Within 5 Years
- Variable-Rate Note Market: Now Freezing
- #Links
- Bet of the Year
- Citigroup: More Hedge Funds Troubles
- Baby Boomers
- Flock Mentality
- Counterparty Risk in CDS contracts
- Fact of the Day: Goldman Sachs Edition
- #Links
- Wisdom of the Crowds : India Edition
- iTraxx Junk Index : Get Me Out
- Headline of the Day
- #Links
- Jerome Kerviel: P&L Picture
- S&P : New Rating Model for CPDOs and 28 Downgrades
- Incredible Correlation
- iTraxx XO at Record
- Could YOU Run Citigroup ?
- Northern Rock CDS : Tighter
- Rogue Traders ? : Credit Suisse Traders Suspended
- #Links
- “Mismarking Error” by Structured Credit Traders
- Citigroup Hedge Fund : Exit Door Closed
- Fake Alpha
- #Links
- Fed Funds Futures
- #Monolinks
- Inflation Targeting Has Notable Shortcomings
- MBIA vs Ackman
- #Links
- Patent Number: US 7263502 B1 Lehman Brothers
- Systemic Risk : Correlation at New High
- Warren Buffett Has a Plan To Save the World
- iTraxx Europe
- AIG and the “Negative Basis”
- AIG CDS
- Ambac CDS
- #Links
- Structured Finance : the Moron Defense Doesn’t Hold Up
- Northern Rock: £100 Billion Hit for Taxpayers
- Traders and Drug Addicts
- #Links
- Best News I Heard Today
- Timeline Index : Private Equity Edition
- #Links
- #Links
- Monolines : CDS Improving
- All Human Systems Are Gamed
- Microsoft Proposes to Buy Yahoo
- #Links
- ABX Floating Payments
- Fed Policy Is Convex
- SocGen Risk Management Team Return To Work
- FSA : Financial Risk Outlook 2008
- SocGen Knew What I Was Doing
- Traders
- Kerviel : Released from Custody
- SocGen Margin
- Death of VaR
- SocGen Knew : Promised 300 000 Euros Bonus to “Rogue” Trader
- Rogue Links
- Eurex Risk Management Engine
- How Many Contracts ?
- How They Got Out
- Equity Derivatives House of the Year - Société Générale
- Did “They” Do It ?
- The “Fraud”
- Huge “Fraud” at SocGen : $7.1 billion Lost
- NYSE Fact of the Day
- #Links
- Q4 CDO Issuance Collapses
- Apple Crash
- Google Crash
- #Links
- Fed Capitulates
- F@CKED : The Stock Market Ruined My Life
- CDS : Who Is Suffering ?
- Promoters versus Parasites
- Bonus Time and a Puzzle for Pirates
- After the Credit Boom
- Banking Crisis : Second Life Edition
- Goldman Sachs
- #Links
- Economics 101 : Euroland Edition
- Bank size, credit and the sources of bank market risk
- The Geography of Hedge Funds
- Hedge Funds Links
- Citi Dividend
- Vice Fund Beats “Faith-Based” Investing
- Fat Finger : Globex Edition
- Fed Funds : 3.50% Here We Come
- CDS Links
- BofA - CFC
- The Day in Pictures
- Prediction Markets : Clueless
- Fake Alpha
- The Persistent Presidential Dummy
- Official : Risk Can’t Be Measured Anymore, Moody’s Says
- Toxic ETF : Bob Shiller Edition
- Mystery Links
- Fed Hits Panic Button
- New, Improved : AJ Tranche for the CMBX indices
- Citadel Up 30% in ‘07
- ABX Floating Payments
- Imperfect Competition in the Inter-Bank Market for Liquidity as a Rationale for Central Banking
- ABX.HE 08-1: Postponed
- Paul Krugman@Google
- ECB Auctions : Liquidity Demand Drops
- Central Banker Song
- 500bn Not Enough
- Mystery Links
- Q3 CDO Issuance Collapses
- ECB Lends $500 Billion
- Liquidity and Procyclical Leverage
- Nuclear Option : Dump Basel II
- Goldman Sachs Mortality Index
- Citi SIVs “Rescue”
- Secrets of Success : Bill Gates Edition
- Secrets of Success : James Simons Edition
- Restoring Market Liquidity in a Financial Crisis
- Hedge Fund Leverage
- Prediction Market : Citi Dividend To Be Cut
- Pundit of the Day
- Nice Job, Ben
- FDIC’s Sheila Bair on Basel II and Models
- “Vertical Slice” Asset Switches : SIVs Edition
- Euro Cash Changeover and Inflation
- ABX - CMBX Update
- More Rating Transitions : U.S. RMBS & CDO of ABS & SIV-Lite
- Prospectus Counter
- Hubs and Spokes : International Banking Edition
- Subprime Rating Transitions
- Shadow Banking : PIMCO Edition
- The Material Production of Virtuality
- Financial Market Perceptions of Recession Risk
- CDO Workout
- Fed Funds To Go Below 3% : Bill Gross
- ADP National Employment Report : +189k
- Prepare For Bleak Times, U.K. Edition
- Basel II Super Crunch Time
- Survivor Swaps
- Google and the Mind
- “The Bank (of England) Look Like Fools”
- How The War Against Innumeracy Was Won
- The Economist Cover : Dollar Edition
- Credit Derivatives : Mark to Market
- New Credit Default Swap Indices
- Long-Term Investment
- Citi Deal
- CPDOs Bloodbath [continued]
- GMP To Be Hit By Foreclosures
- Where Is the Fed ?
- Hedge Fund Tops 1000%
- World’s First : UBS Triple A CPDO Blows Up
- Bye Bye Subprime
- Leveraged Super Senior CDS
- Imperfect Knowledge Economics
- Boom Times for Derivatives
- ACA : CNBC Commentary Factually Incorrect
- Dollar De-pegging : Dubai Edition
- ACA : In the Doghouse
- Fed Minutes
- Red Alert : UK Edition
- It’s Abu Dubai !!!!!!!!
- Freddie Mac : $8.1 Billion WriteDown
- Sub-Prime In Its Context
- Wall Street Bonus Watch
- CPDO Cash-In
- Book of the Year
- Biased Reporting : Bank of America Edition
- Hedge Fund of the Year
- Wall Street Crisis
- Predatory Trading
- CDO Liquidation
- The Basel II Crisis
- Basel II : U.S. Approves Final Rules
- And The First $1 Trillion Company Is :
- ABX Extra
- Another VaR Horror Story
- How to Confuse the Punters : CMBX Edition
- USD HeatMap
- All Their News Are Belong To yoU
- Rating Agencies
- Swap This : SIV Edition
- Change and Constancy in the Financial System
- Weirdos : Hedge Fund Edition
- Repricing of Credit Risk : ECB Edition
- Art of Trading - Goldman Sachs Edition
- I Was The Golden Child of Credit Trading
- Victor Does It Again
- Efficiency of Lending under Basel II
- 14th Century English Monarchs : Subprime
- How to Get a Raise : Comb Your Hair, Shine Your Shoes
- The Equity Premium Puzzle, Ambiguity Aversion and Institutional Quality
- BofE Auction
- Mystery of the Stone Heads
- Greenspan vs Paxman
- Spot The “Crisis”
- Discounting
- U.S Internet Bank Fails
- Alan Greenspan vs BBC4
- Quant Alert : Excel Can’t Count
- Econoblogosphere
- Alan Greenspan vs. Naomi Klein
- Credit Derivatives
- Another Slap in the Face for the Old Lady
- Magicians and Negative Spaces
- Larry Summers On Moral Hazard Fundamentalists
- Flip-Flop King
- Rogue Traders at Credit Agricole : $348m Hit
- Bernanke Should Resign
- The Maestro Beats Harry Potter
- Moral Hazard
- Searching For Evil
- Charles Goodhart on “Culprit N° 1 : Basel II”
- Cheap Talk
- Bank Bail Out : Old Lady Edition
- What The Obscure Economist Really Said
- Tough Love from the Old Lady
- ABCP : Impact on Capital Ratios
- CPDO Roll
- ABCP and Basel II
- Where is the Money ?
- Culprit N° 1 : Basel II
- Just Another Storm in a Teacup
- Guess Who Is Blogging ?
- Illiquidity
- Why are Securitizations Issues Tranched?
- Short Takes
- Don’t Read the Business Page
- Distress Selling and Asset Market Feedback
- I Was Distracted By The Market Turmoil
- Crisis Fears Are Overstated : Moody’s
- As The Paper Said
- Housing Drives U.S. Consumer Debt Rise
- How To Distinguish An Ease From Liquidity Provision
- Fed Capitulates !
- How Quant Trading Works : Just Like a Ponzi Scheme
- CPDOs and the Ratings Agencies
- Quant Funds
- Asset-Backed Extendible Notes
- “Fraud For Purchase”
- Money For Nothing [2]
- Money For Nothing
- Just-In-Time Financial Engineering
- Hedge Funds : Winners and Losers
- Misleading Index of the Year : ABX.HE
- Subprime : Storm in a Teacup
- Chapter 15 for Bear Stearns Funds
- No More “Greenspan Put”
- CPDOs Update
- Bank Trading Floor: Mine is Bigger than Yours Edition
- Innovations in Credit Risk Transfer
- Correlation Crisis
- Hedge Funds : Near-Record Inflows
- Credit Risk
- Mr Market
- Eat the Rich
- 50% Off
- More Mortgages Facts
- New ABX.HE.07-2 Index : Coupons Rise Sharply
- Subprime “Problems” : Contained
- Asset Management : Teradollar Edition
- Economic Catastrophe Bonds
- Alleged Manipulation on Eurex
- Liquidity and Contagion: The Crisis of 1763
- Marking to Market, Liquidity, and Financial Stability
- ABX.HE Resets
- Larry Harris Joins Interactive Brokers
- Foreclosures Links
- Paper of the Day : Subprime Edition [update]
- Currency Crash : Zimbabwe Edition
- Mark to Market
- Four Links
- Mark to Market : It Hurts
- Innumeracy : Subprime Edition
- New Danger : Premature Electronic Trading
- NASDAQ Closing Cross
- Option ARM Loans
- CBOT Binary Options Fed Watch
- Five Links
- Why We Love Markets
- CDOs : Credit Transition Rates
- CDOs : What the Chairman Said
- Seven Links
- Books on Credit Derivatives
- Virtual Clearing
- Cov-Lite Loan Recovery Rates
- CDS
- Hedge Funds
- CFTC Approves CME Credit Index Event Contract
- Lawsuit of the Day
- China US Trade Deficit
- Investment under Uncertainty: the “Bad News Principle”
- How Worrisome Is a Negative Saving Rate?
- How to Forecast Elections
- Credit Futures at the CBOT
- CO2 Permits = Close to Zilch
- Credit Derivatives and Macro-Risks
- Correlation Trading : Exotic Carry Trade
- CFXO
- Fair Value in Complex Derivatives
- Book Cover of the Year
- CPDOs Ratings
- Risks May Be Transferred, But …
- Financial Innovation and Credit Supply
- World’s Top-Earning Traders
- CO2 Update
- SubPrime Carnage
- Pareto Principle , Goodbye
- MarketPerception
- Credit Index Futures
- “Wisdom of the Crowds” Fund Has Huge Negative Alpha
- Volatility and Growth
- CPDO Roll
- Hedge Funds Clones
- Economic Derivatives
- Private Equity
- Happiness Economics
- Principles of Economics
- Stansky’s Monster
- How to Live Longer
- Economics of Extortion
- Credit Index Event Contracts
- Do Analysts Herd?
- Bankruptcy Futures : A Good Thing ?
- Update : A New Measure that Predicts Performance
- Who Invented Bankruptcy Futures ?
- Binary Options
- Cheap Yuan To Stay Cheap
- Mother of All Carry Trade
- Leverage in Derivatives : No Problem
- Flow of Information and Financial Markets
- The CDO Market
- Hedonic Housing Prices Indexes :French Style
- Credit Event Futures {continued}
- Insider Trading
- Psychological Traits and Trading Strategies
- Publishing a Market Anomaly
- Visited Countries
- Quote of the Year
- Credit Default Swap Basis
- Credit Default Swaps and Equity Prices
- Hedge Fund Replication
- The Failure of CAPM
- CDPC
- Crash of the Year : CO2
- Financial Engineer of the Year
- Tradebot and BATS and The Speed of Finance
- Credit Derivatives Futures
- Pricing for Perfection
- Beauty Contests in Asset Markets
- Spam Works: Stock Touts and Market Activity
- Mimetic Desire and Hedge Funds
- Curse of Punditry
- Bill Gross on CPDO
- Credit Event Futures [continued]
- BATS : Better Alternative Trading Systems
- Event Loss Swaps
- TeraDollars
- Futures Markets “Predictions”
- Derivatives Magic
- Carbon Trading
- FX : Carry Trade
- OTC Derivatives at 370 TeraDollars
- Market Effects of Autodealing
- LSE : You Were Warned !
- CPDO For Dummies
- Credit Event Futures : The Merc Fights Back
- “Death” Derivatives
- Understanding Uncertainty
- CPDO
- Hedge Funds : No Future
- Credit Event Futures
- Economic Purpose Test
- How To Rob a Central Bank
- When Government Irresponsibility Is Optimal
- Stock Analysts Track Record
- Barter and Money
- OANDA FXNewsEffects
- Mean-Variance Analysis : No Future
- Dinosaur Death Watch
- Japan’s Private Universities : No Future
- NYSE Human Traders : No Future
- Bubble Chronicles
- Algorithmic Arms Race [2]
- Algorithmic Arms Race
- News Don’t Travel Fast
- Romer’s Rule
- Derivatives Regulation
- Project Boat , ICAP and LSE
- Amaranth Special Edition : Liquidity Black Holes
- The Recent Behaviour of Financial Market Volatility
- The FT Has Some “News”
- Credit Derivatives at 26.0 TeraDollars
- How to Become an Expert : Apperception
- Quant Fund
- Curse of Knowledge
- The Discipline of the Speculator
- Credit Derivative Option for the Masses
- High Frequency Automated Trading
- March of the Modellers
- Computers’ Edge = Consistency
- Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza Propagation
- Extreme Mortality Bond
- Inflation Expectations: How the Market Speaks
- Derivatives Contracts Threaten Analysts’Role as Best Judges
- Why Policymakers Might Care about Stock Market Bubbles
- Studies in Everything :The Bernanke Factor
- The Origins of Bubbles in Laboratory Asset Markets
- Power Law in FX Trading
- Gambling and Speculation
- Hedge Funds Economics
- Is the United States Bankrupt?
- Understanding Hedge Funds
- A Math Prof’s Students Are in Demand at Banks
- Dangers of the Housing Market Delusion
- Bettor Math
- A New Measure that Predicts Performance
- Carbon Trading
- Sell-Side Analysts : No Future
- Carbon Trading for the People
- A Good Bet on Derivatives
- Argentina GDP Warrant
- Hiring the Next Generation of Quants
- Excess Volatility
- Housing Futures
- Paul Romer on French Unemployment
- About Gambling
- Lookback Options and Risk in Hedge Funds Strategies
- A focus on the exceptions that prove the rule
- Invasion of the Locusts
- Algorithmic Trading
- Hayek on Intellectual Property
- Forecasting Professional Forecasters
- Union and Student Protests in France
- The Problem with Prediction Registries
- About Overconfidence
- Psychologists Are Better Stockmarket Speculators Than Economists
- Prediction:What Do We Know?
- About Noise
- About The Conventional Wisdom
- Economists Suffer from Physics Envy
- The Wisdom of Crowds
- Innumeracy is alive and well and living in the USA