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	<title>Alea</title>
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	<link>http://www.aleablog.com</link>
	<description>Alea Jacta Est</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 17:48:28 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Papers =&gt; FRBNY</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/papers-frbny/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/papers-frbny/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 12:00:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4546</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Central Bank Dollar Swap Lines and Overseas Dollar Funding Costs
Is the International Role of the Dollar Changing?
Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities
Performance Maximization of Actively Managed Funds
Repo Market Effects of the Term Securities Lending Facility
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><a href="http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr429.pdf">Central Bank Dollar Swap Lines and Overseas Dollar Funding Costs</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/current_issues/ci16-1.pdf">Is the International Role of the Dollar Changing?</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr428.pdf">Macro Risk Premium and Intermediary Balance Sheet Quantities</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr427.pdf">Performance Maximization of Actively Managed Funds</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr426.pdf">Repo Market Effects of the Term Securities Lending Facility</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Links</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/links-29/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/links-29/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 13:29:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4544</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bernanke&#8217;s Exit Strategy: Tighter Reserve Requirements
US mortgage sector braced for end of Fed help
End of TALF Means Bond Spreads Five-Fold Wider
IMF would help Greece if asked -Strauss-Kahn
Plan to cut mortgage principal pitched to Congress
NYSE To Change Regular Session Closing Procedures Feb. 22
Moody’s warns US of credit rating fears
US could save by cutting public sector pay
Record [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703699204575017462822204340.html">Bernanke&#8217;s Exit Strategy: Tighter Reserve Requirements</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2a7eae76-1113-11df-a6d6-00144feab49a.html">US mortgage sector braced for end of Fed help</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&#038;sid=a4YeGsAFe53c">End of TALF Means Bond Spreads Five-Fold Wider</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE6130KN20100204">IMF would help Greece if asked -Strauss-Kahn</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0318956120100203">Plan to cut mortgage principal pitched to Congress</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100202-713669.html">NYSE To Change Regular Session Closing Procedures Feb. 22</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a82cfe04-10f5-11df-9a9e-00144feab49a.html">Moody’s warns US of credit rating fears</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0315776620100203">US could save by cutting public sector pay</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/fcf13b66-10f1-11df-9a9e-00144feab49a.html">Record volumes for sovereign CDS</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.creditflux.com/Trading/2010-02-04/Credit-trading-bounces-back-for-Deutsche-Bank/">Credit trading bounces back for Deutsche Bank</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Scariest Chart EVER: Loss Severity, Subprime First-Lien</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/scariest-chart-ever-loss-severity-subprime-first-lien/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/scariest-chart-ever-loss-severity-subprime-first-lien/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 21:25:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4542</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This chart shows the loss severity for subprime first-lien mortgage loans in the tri-state area (New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut). Loss severity is defined as the average size of a loss if one occurs. A loss occurs when a foreclosed home sells for less than what the borrower owes to the mortgage lender. The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This chart shows the loss severity for subprime first-lien mortgage loans in the tri-state area (New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut). Loss severity is defined as the average size of a loss if one occurs. A loss occurs when a foreclosed home sells for less than what the borrower owes to the mortgage lender. The amount of that loss includes the costs to foreclose and liquidate, as well as taxes and declines in property value. This report uses all securitized nonprime mortgage loans from First American CoreLogic&#8217;s Loan Performance data set. </p>
<p>
<a href="http://www.aleablog.com/a/hc_035.png"><img src="http://www.aleablog.com/a/hc_035.png" /></a><br />
Source: <strong>Fed U.S. Credit Conditions</strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>42</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Google CDS =&gt; AAA</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/google-cds-aaa/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/google-cds-aaa/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 16:24:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4539</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[5 year CDS starts life at 19bps (via cmadatavision)
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>5 year CDS starts life at 19bps (via <a href="http://www.cmavision.com/">cmadatavision</a>)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.aleablog.com/google-cds-aaa/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Empty Creditor Claim</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/empty-creditor-claim/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/empty-creditor-claim/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 14:33:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4537</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Good read:
Goldman halted market-making on YRC after empty creditor claim
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good read:<br />
<strong><a href="http://www.risk.net/risk-magazine/news/1589502/goldman-halted-market-yrc-creditor-claim">Goldman halted market-making on YRC after empty creditor claim</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Links</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/links-28/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/links-28/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Jan 2010 23:00:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4535</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Insurance Market Aims to Build &#8216;Longevity Swaps&#8217;
TARP Inspector Says Rescue to Cost Taxpayers Less Than Expected
SIGTARP Quarterly Report to Congress
White House projects record deficit this year
The Ring of Fire
Zhu Min, a man worth listening to
Bank of England fears new crisis as quantitative easing ends
In Defense of Home Bias
How to trade: butterflies cause cascading margin calls
FSA&#8217;s [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704722304575037170945910534.html">Insurance Market Aims to Build &#8216;Longevity Swaps&#8217;</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&#038;sid=aHh4ARzMImDo">TARP Inspector Says Rescue to Cost Taxpayers Less Than Expected</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.sigtarp.gov/embargoed/embargo.pdf">SIGTARP Quarterly Report to Congress</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN3115303320100131">White House projects record deficit this year</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Featured+Market+Commentary/IO/2010/February+2010+Gross+Ring+of+Fire.htm">The Ring of Fire</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/7111238/Zhu-Min-a-man-worth-listening-to.html">Zhu Min, a man worth listening to</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2010/jan/31/bank-warning-quantitative-easing">Bank of England fears new crisis as quantitative easing ends</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://alephblog.com/2010/01/31/in-defense-of-home-bias/">In Defense of Home Bias</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.olsenblog.com/2010/01/how-to-trade-butterflies-cause-cascading-margin-calls/">How to trade: butterflies cause cascading margin calls</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/7104157/FSAs-Lord-Turner-signals-crackdown-on-carry-trade.html">FSA&#8217;s Lord Turner signals crackdown on carry trade</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://exchanges.nyse.com/archives/2010/01/_ioinet_v2_a_new_advance_in_the_search_for_liquidity_in_a_fragmented_market.php">ioinet™ v2: New Advances in the Search for Liquidity in a Fragmented Market</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://tierneylab.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/01/27/monkeys-candy-and-cognitive-dissonance/">Monkeys, Candy and Cognitive Dissonance</a></strong></p>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Quotes of the Day</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/quotes-of-the-day/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/quotes-of-the-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 31 Jan 2010 13:05:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4529</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8216;There&#8217;s a growing recognition the dispersion of credit risk by banks to a broader and more diverse group of investors &#8230; has helped make the banking system more resilient&#8221;. So said the International Monetary Fund&#8217;s Global Stability Report in 2006.
&#8220;Improved resilience may be seen in fewer bank failures,&#8221; the IMF predicted. &#8220;Consequently, the commercial banks [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>&#8216;There&#8217;s a growing recognition the dispersion of credit risk by banks to a broader and more diverse group of investors &#8230; has helped make the banking system more resilient&#8221;. So said the International Monetary Fund&#8217;s Global Stability Report in 2006.</p>
<p>&#8220;Improved resilience may be seen in fewer bank failures,&#8221; the IMF predicted. &#8220;Consequently, the commercial banks may be less vulnerable today to credit or economic shocks&#8221;.</p>
<p>&#8220;Obviously, if the unwinding of the various imbalances were to signal lower-than-expected growth, markets would react more sharply; but there is little evidence from the above analysis to suggest that the expected or likely market corrections in the period ahead would lead to crises of systemic proportions.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/liamhalligan/7111238/Zhu-Min-a-man-worth-listening-to.html#">Zhu Min, a man worth listening to</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2006/01/pdf/chp1.pdf">Global Financial System Resilience in the Face of Cyclical Challenges</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.imf.org/External/Pubs/FT/GFSR/2006/01/pdf/chp2.pdf">The Influence of Credit Derivative and Structured Credit Markets on Financial Stability</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<item>
		<title>Fed&#8217;s MBS Program</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/feds-mbs-program/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/feds-mbs-program/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2010 22:37:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4524</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Q. What happens to the proceeds from maturing securities and prepayments ?
A. The Manager of the System Open Market Account has said that the System&#8217;s holdings of securities will tend to decline gradually after the completion of the asset purchase programs, reflecting maturing issues and prepayments on holdings of MBS. The Manager noted that the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Q. What happens to the proceeds from maturing securities and prepayments ?</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>A. The Manager of the System Open Market Account has said that the System&#8217;s holdings of securities will tend to decline gradually after the completion of the asset purchase programs, reflecting maturing issues and prepayments on holdings of MBS. The Manager noted that the Committee would likely wish to discuss in detail its policy for reinvesting the proceeds of maturing issues and prepayments; <em>he proposed, as an interim approach, continuing the practice of NOT reinvesting the proceeds of maturing agency securities or MBS prepayments.</em> <em>Meeting participants supported that interim approach pending further discussion at future meetings.</em></strong></p></blockquote>
<p>note: <em>answer is excerpt from f.o.m.c. minutes</em></p>
<p>Related:<br />
<strong><a href="http://imarketnews.com/node/7903">US MBS: End To NY Fed&#8217;s MBS Program Being Closely Followed</a></strong></p>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Variability in Nucleus Accumbens Activity Mediates Age-Related Suboptimal Financial Risk Taking</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/variability-in-nucleus-accumbens-activity-mediates-age-related-suboptimal-financial-risk-taking/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/variability-in-nucleus-accumbens-activity-mediates-age-related-suboptimal-financial-risk-taking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2010 19:13:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4522</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Paper by Gregory R. Samanez-Larkin, Camelia M. Kuhnen, Daniel J. Yoo, and Brian Knutson
As human life expectancy continues to rise, financial decisions of aging investors may have an increasing impact on the global economy. In this study, we examined age differences in financial decisions across the adult life span by combining functional neuroimaging with a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><a href="http://www.dormivigilia.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/1426.pdf">Paper</a></strong> by <strong>Gregory R. Samanez-Larkin</strong>, <strong>Camelia M. Kuhnen</strong>, <strong>Daniel J. Yoo</strong>, and <strong>Brian Knutson</strong></p>
<blockquote><p><strong>As human life expectancy continues to rise, financial decisions of aging investors may have an increasing impact on the global economy. In this study, we examined age differences in financial decisions across the adult life span by combining functional neuroimaging with a dynamic financial investment task. <em>During the task, older adults made more suboptimal choices than younger adults when choosing risky assets.</em> This age-related effect was mediated by a neural measure of temporal variability in nucleus accumbens activity. These findings reveal a novel neural mechanism by which aging may disrupt rational financial choice.</strong></p></blockquote>
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		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Links</title>
		<link>http://www.aleablog.com/links-26/</link>
		<comments>http://www.aleablog.com/links-26/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jan 2010 14:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>jck</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.aleablog.com/?p=4520</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Banks pull out of PRDC market
Greek 5-year CDS hits record high at 395 bps &#8211; CMA
Germany FinMin: Rumors Of Greece Bailout &#8216;Absolutely Wrong&#8217;
ECB and other central banks decide to discontinue the temporary swap lines with the Federal Reserve
Volcker has the measure of the banks
The Latest AIG Story
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong><a href="http://www.risk.net/risk-magazine/news/1589083/banks-pull-prdc-market">Banks pull out of PRDC market</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE60R18S20100128">Greek 5-year CDS hits record high at 395 bps &#8211; CMA</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://imarketnews.com/node/7884">Germany FinMin: Rumors Of Greece Bailout &#8216;Absolutely Wrong&#8217;</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.ecb.int/press/pr/date/2010/html/pr100127.en.html">ECB and other central banks decide to discontinue the temporary swap lines with the Federal Reserve</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f00aa3dc-0b7a-11df-8232-00144feabdc0.html">Volcker has the measure of the banks</a></strong><br />
<strong><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704094304575029400270865426.html?mod=WSJ_Opinion_AboveLEFTTop">The Latest AIG Story</a></strong></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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