30-Year Swap Spread Will Normalize Soon

Currently at negative 10.
We are near a negative convexity hedging event as the current FN coupon nears 5% (last 4.95).

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5 Responses to 30-Year Swap Spread Will Normalize Soon

  1. David Merkel says:

    sorry, I knew you meant positive — I put the 50 bp out for reference sake. Sorry for the confusion.

  2. jck says:

    Thx David. It won’t normalize to 50 bp anytime soon, I meant going back to positive.

  3. David Merkel says:

    30-year swap spreads average about +0.5% over the short existence of this market.

  4. jck says:

    Current coupon now 5.02 and 30-year swap at 8.50. How big? North of $100 billion, mostly in the long end.

  5. pwm says:

    How big?